Evidence before entry.
Mature assets pass through strategy eligibility, trend, liquidity, freshness, cost and contradiction gates before entering forward paper testing.
Oct 22, 2026, 5:47 a.m.
BTC 30-day and 90-day trends disagree.
Forward research and paper testing only. ARMED is converted into a deterministic market-state decision, passed through a non-overridable risk kernel, and executed only in the cost-modeled paper ledger; it is not a live-trading recommendation.
Decision loop: 25 states · 0 entries approved · 0 entries blocked · 1 exits · 1.01× normalized paper exposure.
Mature-asset opportunity board
| Asset | State | 7d | 30d | 90d | Turnover | Vol scale | Gauntlet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monero XMR | ARMED external_evidence | +17.8% | +9.6% | +82.3% | 2.32% | 0.80× | clear |
| NEAR Protocol NEAR | WATCH external_evidence | +2.1% | +16.8% | +164.6% | 15.74% | 0.29× | clear |
| Bitway BTW | WATCH external_evidence | -31.8% | +102.6% | +2354.6% | 1.09% | 0.13× | 1 caution |
| Bitcoin BTC | REJECT external_evidence | +0.6% | -5.2% | +26.2% | 2.26% | 1.00× | clear |
| Ethereum ETH | REJECT external_evidence | -0.2% | -13.0% | +28.7% | 4.78% | 1.00× | clear |
| BNB BNB | REJECT external_evidence | +0.6% | -8.1% | +29.6% | 0.84% | 1.00× | clear |
| XRP XRP | REJECT external_evidence | +0.2% | -13.1% | +20.4% | 2.36% | 0.99× | clear |
| Solana SOL | REJECT external_evidence | -0.2% | -12.5% | +37.1% | 4.66% | 0.98× | clear |
| TRON TRX | REJECT external_evidence | -0.5% | -4.0% | +0.6% | 1.27% | 1.00× | clear |
| Zcash ZEC | REJECT external_evidence | +11.1% | -13.4% | +152.7% | 5.78% | 0.39× | clear |
| Hyperliquid HYPE | REJECT external_evidence | -3.0% | -16.6% | +36.4% | 4.59% | 0.75× | clear |
| Dogecoin DOGE | REJECT external_evidence | -3.2% | -20.7% | +14.4% | 4.68% | 0.75× | clear |
| Chainlink LINK | REJECT external_evidence | -2.6% | -8.2% | +42.9% | 2.88% | 0.58× | clear |
| Cardano ADA | REJECT external_evidence | -6.2% | -12.0% | +28.1% | 3.70% | 0.56× | clear |
| Stellar XLM | REJECT external_evidence | -2.3% | -17.2% | -2.2% | 2.08% | 0.60× | clear |
| Bitcoin Cash BCH | REJECT external_evidence | +2.6% | +3.1% | +29.9% | 2.85% | 0.37× | clear |
| Litecoin LTC | REJECT external_evidence | +0.3% | -4.1% | +26.6% | 5.73% | 0.57× | clear |
| Uniswap UNI | REJECT external_evidence | -1.4% | -21.2% | +88.8% | 11.05% | 0.39× | clear |
| Avalanche AVAX | REJECT external_evidence | -8.0% | -18.0% | +47.1% | 8.03% | 0.51× | clear |
| Sui SUI | REJECT external_evidence | -3.8% | -5.5% | +32.2% | 15.10% | 0.40× | clear |
| Hedera HBAR | REJECT external_evidence | -3.8% | -13.0% | +14.2% | 2.87% | 0.32× | clear |
| Tether Gold XAUT | REJECT external_evidence | -0.4% | -6.3% | +1.1% | 6.89% | 1.00× | clear |
| Global Dollar USDG | REJECT external_evidence | -0.0% | +0.0% | -0.0% | 18.62% | 1.00× | 1 fail |
| Shiba Inu SHIB | REJECT external_evidence | -1.2% | -17.0% | +21.3% | 1.58% | 0.77× | clear |
| Bittensor TAO | REJECT external_evidence | -4.1% | -18.6% | +34.7% | 5.54% | 0.53× | clear |
Oct 22, 2026, 6:32 a.m.
Mean realized strategy return: -4.09% · Win rate: 0.0% · Average MFE / MAE: 4.00% / -7.81%
insufficient sample: Do not change strategy thresholds yet; the cost-modeled forward sample is still too small.
Review output is observational. It may propose challenger tests, but it never mutates strategy parameters, promotion stage, or risk policy automatically.
What ARMED means
ARMED is a forward-paper research state: 7-day, 30-day and 90-day momentum plus moving-average structure aligned, the hard gauntlet gates passed, and no configured contradiction forced a downgrade. It is deliberately not a live execution instruction.